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Front Page » Communities » Miami-Dade County historic population boom hits a wall

Miami-Dade County historic population boom hits a wall

Written by on December 15, 2020
Miami-Dade County historic population boom hits a wall

Miami-Dade’s long-term trend of booming population growth has slowed to a crawl, barely expanding year to year, data released last week by the US Census Bureau shows.

In the year ending in July 2019, the county added just 2,092 residents to total 2,716,940, a gain of less than eight-hundredths of 1%, the American Community Survey shows. The gain in 2018 was even less, 1,559 people. But in 2017, the gain had been 21,082, and prior to that far more.  

The sudden slowdown in population gain has broad implications, potentially impacting representation in Congress and the Florida Legislature as redistricting approaches as well as business calculations by developers of housing and others.

The small population gains here might be welcomed in declining rust-belt communities in the North but are a change in hitherto fast-growing Miami-Dade, where populations virtually doubled each decade up to 1960. Even the era from 1980 to 2000 saw average annual growth of 32,000 persons, county reports state.

In the past nine years, from 2000 to 2019, Miami-Dade population expanded from 2,497,993 to 2,716,046, a gain of 218,053 persons, or 24,228 added per year. But the past two years have stalled real growth.

Another decline the survey shows is in median Miami-Dade household income, which dropped from $52,205 in July 2018 to $51,347 in July 2019, a fall of over 1.6%. The survey said 2019 national median household income was $62,843.

Housing figures in the county also deviate sharply from national levels. Here, 51.2% owned their homes, versus 64% nationally. Of those who rent, the average cost in Miami-Dade was $1,328 monthly versus the national level of $1,062.

Pay for women in the county in 2019 declined more than 3% to average $33,509 from $34,618 the prior year, according to the survey. The national average for women in 2019 was $43,022.

9 Responses to Miami-Dade County historic population boom hits a wall

  1. Drew

    December 16, 2020 at 11:51 am

    Miami is for the wealthy. A wealthy friend told me back in 2002, that Miami would be another Monte Carlo in 20 years. So far, he’s been right on. I don’t think I would ever go back to Miami to live. Too expensive for me and population density is high. Eventually, the working class and many locals will be squeezed out.

  2. John

    December 17, 2020 at 8:31 am

    If you dont build more homes people will find it too expensive. The available stock is too expensive. Dallas, Denver, Atlanta metro, etc all build and

    Open land for building!!
    Expand the 836!!

    This slowdown is our fault!!

    • Tom

      January 10, 2021 at 9:11 pm

      Go up not out…..high rise the whole city like Hong Kong

  3. Richard Rodriguez

    December 17, 2020 at 8:47 am

    I welcome this news to some degree. Slower growth is not automatically a bad thing. Endless population growth is unsustainable. What worries me are the income figures. Not only are we poorer than the nation as a whole, but it seems we are becoming poorer still. I would guess that Miami-Dade County is experiencing a flight of the middle class. The county is becoming a place populated only by those wealthy enough to live here, and those poor enough to qualify for housing subsidies and other forms of public assistance.

    • James Nickoloff

      December 18, 2020 at 7:02 am

      I agree with you, Richard Rodríguez. Endless population growth and the destruction of the environment are not sustainable. Here in Miami Beach “development” is definitely a dirty word to many of us.

      As a county, as a state, as a country, as a world, we need to find a way to have a no-growth but high-income economy. This is possible, but it requires human imagination and creativity. Fortunately, these are boundless. And we must begin by dealing with income inequity and its siblings, education and healthcare inequity.

  4. Chuck

    December 17, 2020 at 3:40 pm

    I 100% totally disagree with this article I’ve been in South Florida since 85 dade county to be exact there are more people down here than ever before, when hurricane Andrew hit in 92 everyone moved away and the county seemed empty for several years then all of a sudden in 96 people were moving in overnight legally and illegally I live in the homestead area and there are like a million people down there

  5. Domingo Roges

    December 17, 2020 at 7:19 pm

    Rapid transit like Metro Rail is a must for a populous area. More expressways is not a solution but a way to benefit certain interested parties but not a benefit for the needy masses of people.

  6. Elliot

    December 22, 2020 at 1:57 pm

    Get rid of that ridiculous “Urban Development Boundary”. That stupid imaginary boundary that Dade County imposed upon itself (by way of it’s leaders that have no vision or foresight of how to build America’s next super-major city} to crimp and stall the westward migration of the county’s populace. We need that room to grow and innovate the county. We need those “new horizons” to showcase what this region is capable of accomplishing. Without it we are greatly inhibiting our own growth.

  7. Septic Pumping Miami

    January 15, 2021 at 5:17 pm

    I Believe as the Influx from Western states continue to grow as people seek to get out of high tax states to lower tax areas such as Florida. You will seem another boom. The trick is to get affordable housing as the population of Florida expands and to keep the environment safe as people move.